Transition probabilities from selected texts
The Somerton Man's code (without the extra line) is 44 characters long. So, if the text is purely random (1/26 chance of each letter appearing) then the probability of attaining this particular string of 44 is (1/26)^44 = 5.51027E-63. This is a good initial comparison.
For transitions that have p=0, corrections to p=0.0001 have been performed to attain a non-zero Markov probability.
Contents
First order
All letters
(1984 - George Orwell.txt) All Letters
Markov Probability: 1.4641414719133752E-71
Corrected Zeroes: 1
(Les Orientales - Victor Hugo.txt) All Letters
Markov Probability: 1.1571661202766416E-78
Corrected Zeroes: 2
(Traumdeutung - Sigmund Freud.txt) All Letters
Markov Probability: 3.866259362091006E-77
Corrected Zeroes: 1
(Vigenere - 1984.txt) All Letters
Markov Probability: 1.6463917694250256E-70
Corrected Zeroes: 0
Initial letters
(1984 - George Orwell.txt) Initial Letters
Markov Probability: 1.9187432339606235E-56
Corrected Zeroes: 0
(Les Orientales - Victor Hugo.txt) Initial Letters
Markov Probability: 7.809561685705419E-61
Corrected Zeroes: 0
(Traumdeutung - Sigmund Freud.txt) Initial Letters
Markov Probability: 4.553994899282498E-68
Corrected Zeroes: 1
Second order
All letters
(1984 - George Orwell.txt) All Letters
Markov Probability: 2.1150890060822598E-99
Corrected Zeroes: 14
(Les Orientales - Victor Hugo.txt) All Letters
Markov Probability: 4.429249667204522E-106
Corrected Zeroes: 18
(Traumdeutung - Sigmund Freud.txt) All Letters
Markov Probability: 3.796449095383427E-119
Corrected Zeroes: 21
(Vigenere - 1984.txt) All Letters
Markov Probability: 1.6699440985106455E-92
Corrected Zeroes: 8
Initial letters
(1984 - George Orwell.txt) Initial Letters
Markov Probability: 7.009981410871061E-61
Corrected Zeroes: 2
(Les Orientales - Victor Hugo.txt) Initial Letters
Markov Probability: 2.9707877167600856E-89
Corrected Zeroes: 12
(Traumdeutung - Sigmund Freud.txt) Initial Letters
Markov Probability: 2.9078792518321384E-100
Corrected Zeroes: 17
